Category: Picks

JAX @ DEN – Week 4

This one seems laughable. Jalen Ramsey went from the flu to a back strain to paternity leave in 3 days, and is not playing this weekend. 

Might not matter as Flacco is toast, and Denver is only averaging 15 points per game. The fact that the Jags are letting Ramsey seek this trade might say enough about their faith in the defense to compete without him.

The Broncos seem to have finally realized Philip Lindsay is good considering they fed him the rock 21 times last week and he rewarded that gameplanb with 2 tuts. Lindsay was The Broncos only bright spot against the Pack. 

I ride the gravy train and the MInshew train. 👨🏻🚂. Gardner met his hero this week when Uncle Rico made a stop in Jacksonville for a little inspiration.

The Minshew hype is real and he has been doing alot of media this week. Maybe ripe for a reality check? I’m not ready to go there.

In what should be a tight game, The Dog still says take The Jags. What has Denver shown us to be a favorite against anyone this year? Nothin’!

The Pick

JAX +3

UNDER 38

Two Woofs

MIN @ CHI – Week 4

Bookmakers see this one as a pickem with Chicago getting the 3 points as the home team. 

It’s probably deserved considering Trubisky basically had 1 good quarter vs a terrible Redskins team and Taylor gabriel, who was Mitch’s favorite target Monday night and caught 3 tuts, is concussed and questionable for this weekend. 

Matt Nagy still has to hold Mitch’s hand and I don’t see him having as much success against a legit Vikings defense. 

The change in Minnesota’s strategy to basically not give Kirk Cousins the chance to hurt them is already paying dividends as Dalvin Cook is having a breakout season with 375 rushing yards and 4 tds in 3 games. Look for the Bears to again struggle to move the ball and Minnesota to do just enough for the win. 

Turnovers will swing this one.

The Pick

MIN +3

UNDER 38.5

One Woof

SEA @ ARI – Week 4

Seattle burned the Dog last week. Or, maybe I burned myself. 

I put the Seahwaks in the Week 3 Dog Pound and as I did, I thought to myself, “when have I ever felt strongly about the Seahawks?”

To me they are this team that plays in the corner of the country quietly all year. Then, they show up on the slate for the playoffs at the end of the year. That’s just who they are.

Lesson learned: “Stay in your lane”. 

The Seahawks embarrassed themselves last week, getting blown out by Teddy two gloves and a rebuilt Saints offense that didn’t seem to care that Drew Brees wasn’t there.

Arizona was just blown out by a Cam-less panthers team. Seattle bounces back from embarrassment and easily covers against Kyler Murray.

I have not forgotten about my play of the year. The Arizona OVERS.

The Seahawks are quietly a top 10 scoring offense. While Both teams are in the bottom seven in scoring defense. Try-hard offenses against underperforming defense paired with the Arizona gameplan = OVERS every time.

The Pick

SEA -5

OVER 47.5

Three Woofs

TB @ LAR – Week 4

The Rams have the best defensive player in the league in Aaron Donald and have given up 22 total combined points in their last two games.

On the other side The Bucs’ Jameis Winston has been sacked 10 times and thrown 4 picks.

The  Dog isn’t thinking will the Rams win, he’s thinking, “By how much?”.

Jared goff isn’t as good as his contract says he should be. But, he has no shortage of weapons around him and a defense that doesn’t make the offense bear all of the weight.

Aside from the conservative win (with a wopping 189 passing yards) against the Panthers,  we know Jameis is an inconsistent QB play. Pair that up with the shaky backfield for The Bucs (Barber, Peyton, Shared, What is it?) the Rams can cover this one at home.

With Jameis’ inconsistent QB play and a shaky backfield for the bucs, the rams can cover this one at home.

The Pick

LAR -9

OVER 50.5

One Woof

OAK @ IND – Week 4

Oakland is hot garbage. The week 1 surprise win now feels like forever ago. Gruden and crew got outmanned and outgunned against Minnesota and KC.

The Dogs likes his brisket cooked low, slow and juicy, but this Jacoby Briskett has been cooking on high every Sunday.

T.Y. Hilton is questionable with a quad injury, so The Dog sees this one being more of a ground game. Marlon Mack and that O-Line will have themselves a DAY! 

Frank Reich is an early frontrunner for Coach of the Year.   Indy 2-0-1 against the spread this season.

The rend is your friend, don’t bet against that. The Dog like the Colts to cover & the OVER.

The Pick

IND -7

OVER 45

Three Woofs

NE @ BUF – Week 4

Buffalo is a team that is no where close to as good as their record may indicate. Racking up 3 wins against teams with a combined record of 1-8, they’re finally going to get their true test to prove they’re a contender again.

They will fail that test miserably. That is why this one is in The Dog Pound.

The Dog says there is no chance Buffalo has the firepower to keep this one close against a smothering Patriots Defense. Josh Allen will be in for a long day against a Patriots Defense that still hasn’t given up a touchdown (remember both Jets touchdowns last week were not scored against the defense).

Patriots would have covered their monster spread last week had it not been for the two non-offensive Jets touchdowns. As The Dog called in the Week 3 recap, Jarrett Stidham is not the QB heir apparent – he won’t come in to mess this one up as – although if they’re up a bunch maybe Cody Kessler will.

Pats to roll in this one – Taking them to cover 7.5 in the Dog Pound and the OVER.

The Pick

NE – 7.5

OVER 42.5

Three Woofs

CLE @ BAL – Week 4

Cleveland has a bevy of Offensive weapons. Coach Freddie Kitchens hasn’t figured out how to use them.  A smash-mouth divisional road game… The Dog doesn’t see this one being the breakthorugh game.

LamJacks “managed” to keep Ravens close last week on the road against KC.  He completed just over 50% for 267 yards. 

But it was really Mark Ingram 2 in this one.  Had a banner day with 3 touchdowns and ran it well. Mix in “Bus” Edwards and LamJacks out of the pocket, this Baltimore rushing attack is a whole ‘nother animal altogether. 

Ravens to literally run away with this one and cover.

The Pick

BAL -7

OVER 46.5

Two Woofs

CAR @ HOU – Week 4

If you take one thing away from The Dog other than the picks, it’s to watch something other than this one. 

Kyle Allen was 19 for 26 and 4 TDs filling in for SCam Newton, but he was an undrafted free agent for a reason. Can he do it again? Against this Houston Defense.  Nah – Doggy don’t think so.

Deshaun Watson and the dynamic WR combo will be too much for Carolina D to handle.  Look for a career game out of him, Texans will run away with this one at home. Pound this Pick.

Take Houston ATS in this Dog Pound Pick & The Over.

The Pick

HOU -4.5

OVER 46.5

Three Woofs

KC @ DET – Week 4

Detroit is all smoke and mirrors right now. They’ve won the last 2 games while being out gained yardage-wise in both. 

Kyler Murray threw for 308.  Phil Rivers for 293. I can see Monday’s paper already. Patrick Mahomes throws for for 600 yards and 7 touchdowns.. 

If that doesn’t scream KC -6.5 & the Over, I don’t know what does. The -6.5 was a no doubter for being in the pound, & the Over just missed getting in, but the Dog still gives each of these 3 Woofs.

The Pick

KC -6.5

OVER 54

Three Woofs

TEN @ ATL – Week 4

No ears perking up about Tannehill, so it seems to still be Mariota under center.

Henry may run wild and rack up stats, but other than that, Titans won’t move the ball efficiently enough to hang with the Falcons in this one until their QB shows any signs of life.

Matt Ryan at Home with Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley will be more than Tennessee Defense can handle.  Throw in a solid game from Devonta Freeman, and Atlanta can go for 30+ in this one.

That points The Dog to Atlanta to cover 4 and the OVER.

The Pick

ATL -4

OVER 45.5

One Woof